CURRENT ISSUES peace & security
Democratic Reoublic of Congo: Can peace prevail?
Frederick Chiluba
Frederick Chiluba
Jose Eduardo Dos Santos
Jose Eduardo Dos Santos
Laurent Kabila
Laurent Kabila
Robert Mugabe
Robert Mugabe
Sam Nujoma
Sam Nujoma
by Fernando Goncalves

In line with the spirit of continued search for peace and stability in the region, several initiatives have been undertaken to end the conflict in the DRC. The most recent of such initiatives was the Lusaka Peace Summit in July which culminated in a ceasefire agreement signed by leaders of six countries involved in the DRC war and their Zambian counterpart, giving hope of an end to the two-year-old conflict.

The DRC peace agreement was extracted after almost one month of intense negotiations in the Zambian capital, involving first, Ministers of Foreign Affairs and Defence from all SADC countries, and later restricted to representatives of those countries militarily involved in the conflict, the hosts and the rebels.

But when the hour of truth came, and against all expectations, the rebels threw spanners in the works, casting a dense cloud of uncertainty regarding the success of the peace initiative.

The split among the RCD rebels had grown so deep that both faction leaders, Emile Ilunga, who claims to be the legitimate leader of the movement, and Ernest Wamba dia Wamba, who was deposed in a palace coup in May, each claiming to have the sole right to put their signatures to the deal.

In the midst of the confusion, Jean Pierre Bemba’s Movement for the Liberation of Congo (MLC) was celebrating its capture of the late Mobutu’s home town of Gbadolite, in the north of the country. The MLC had sent representatives to the Lusaka peace summit which initially refused to sign, saying they will only do so after the RCD has sorted out its problems.

However, with the involvement of two SADC leaders, Bemba has now signed the agreement but on condition he would withdraw his signature if other rival rebel groups did not follow suit.

Among some of its provisions, the agreement calls for the cessation of hostilities within 24 hours of its signing and the release of hostages and prisoners of war within 30 days.

It also establishes a Joint Military Commission (JMC) to oversee the implementation of the ceasefire and undertake peace keeping operations until the deployment of a larger UN peace keeping force.

Chaired by the OAU, the JMC includes two representatives from each of the signatories, and is assisted in its operations by a joint OAU/UN observer mission.

Secretary general Koffi Annan has declared his commitment to see the implementation of the agreement, but a final decision depends on the security council, currently preoccupied with ensuring the success of the Kosovo peace keeping operation.

Observers note that a potential problem facing the peace process is that the various rebel groups may opt to keep large parts of their forces out of the process as an insurance policy.

The Mayi Mayi fighters, who have always been left out of the process, have already declared that they will not recognise the agreement, and RCD-Goma vice president, Moise Nyarugabo, is on record saying that the signing of the agreement did not mean the recognition of Kabila as head of state. Nor does his group intend to give up territory under its control, as stipulated in the peace agreement.

“We did not fight in order to hand everything back,” Nyarugabo said recently.

There also appear to be differences of interpretation of the clauses in the agreement dealing with the unification of governent and rebel forces. Nyarugabo says the integration does not mean the incorporation of RCD troops into the present government army. “The aim is to restructure and create a new army,” he adds.

The uncertainty over the success of the the agreement is exacerbated by reports that as recently as a week before the signing of the document, Rwanda had sent into the DRC an additional 7 000 troops.

This was followed by Rwanda’s vice president and defence minister, Paul Kagame’s utterances that if the agreement fails to round up, disarm and hand over the Interahamwe, his government was ready to go it alone.

Rwanda and Uganda have argued that they are in the DRC to guarantee the security of their borders in the face of persistent attacks against their territories by the Interahamwe and former members of the Rwandan Armed Forces (FAR), who fled to the DRC after the 1994 massacres in Rwanda.

However, the agreement leaves the issue of the security concerns of DRC’s neighbours for later and outside its scope. Upon entry into force, the agreement says, “the parties commit themselves to immediately address the security concerns of the DRC and her neighbbouring countries.”

But it makes no provisions for enforcement, or the penalties deriving from such violations. It also implies that the DRC is the only source of instability in the region, and therefore it places on it the burden of ensuring that security in the region prevails.

By creating the impression that it is the DRC that should ensure the security of the region, by eliminating rebel groups operating in Burundi, Rwanda and Uganda, the negotiators of the agreement have exonerated the three countries from ensuring their own security by embarking on a genuine process of national reconciliation with the various political forces fighting them.

The JMC is also responsible for tracking, disarming, cantoning and documenting all armed groups operating in the DRC, including those that have been accused of perpetrating attacks against Angola, Burundi, Rwanda and Uganda, and handing over perpetrators of the gernocide in Rwanda to the International Crimes Tribunal in Arusha.

The final withdrawal of all foreign forces including those of allies on both sides of the conflict, is expected to be complete within six months of the agreement being signed, followed by the re-establishment of government authority throughout the country, disarmament of non-military personnel and the normalisation of security along all DRC’s international borders.

The DRC has for many years been plagued by ethnic conflicts, particularly in the east of the country, where there is a large concentration of the Banyamulenge, who centuries ago settled in the Kivu provinces. Natives in the area consider the Banyamulenge immigrants from Rwanda, who do not therefore qualify for citizenship.

The peace agreement guarantees that “all ethnic groups and nationalities” who were part of the DRC territory at independence in 1964 “must enjoy equal rights and protection under the law as citizens.”

The agreement also commits President Kabila’s government to enter into “an open national dialogue” with all political forces in the country, leading to a new political dispensation and national reconciliation. The OAU is expected to assist in the process, to be headed by a neutral facilitator agreed to by all parties.

The agreement imposes that the internal settlement in the DRC must result in among other issues, the formation of a new national army that includes members of the government forces, the RCD and the MLC.

It must also result in the establishment of institituions aimed at ensuring good governance, the holding of democratic elections and the enactment of a new constitution..


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