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Mauritius: Massive win for opposition peacefully accepted

      As the SADC Parliamentary Forum noted in its press statement following the landslide victory of the opposition alliance on 11 September, “we recognize the fact that this is a country accustomed to regular, democratic change of government.”
      After a 30-day campaign,
shortest in Mauritian history, some 81 percent of 790,000 registered voters dumped the ruling Labour Party overwhelmingly, leaving them with only six seats on the 70-seat House of Assembly.
      Navin Ramgoolam, 55, who headed the government since 1995, smoothly turned over power to veteran politician and former prime minister Sir Anerood Jugnauth, 73, after a few days of confirming results. He tendered his resignation to President Cassim Uteem, the ceremonial head of state, who then formally requested Jugnauth and his partner in an old-new alliance, deputy prime minister and finance minister-elect Paul Berenger, 56, to form the new government. They won 54 seats.
      The remaining 10 MPs consist of two from the offshore island of Rodrigues whose local parties usually join the winning alliance in the House and a maximum of eight “best losers” determined statistically by the independent Electoral Commissioner and ratified by Electoral Supervisory Commission (ESC). The “best losers” cannot change the election outcome in any configuration but are allocated to minorities on party lists to redress imbalances in Mauritius’ complex ethnic and political mix.
      Alliance politics and block-voting have been part of Mauritius political his-tory since long before it gained independence from Britain - having been colonized earlier by the Dutch and French. Block-voting means that three candidates must be voted for in each of 20 main island constituencies and two on Rodrigues. Ballots are invalid if more or less than three are marked.
      The new ruling alliance known popularly as MMM/MSM is an equal partnership formed from Jugnauth’s Militant Socialist Movement and Berenger’s Militant Mauritian Movement. Ideologically both are similar, and both have been in alliance
with each other — and with other political formations as well — be-fore.
      Indeed the same alliance brought Jugnauth to power in 1991 when he served as prime minister for 13 years until 1995, but without Berenger who split early on and went into opposition. In another irony, Berenger joined with the Labour Party in 1995 to wipe out completely his old colleague and partner, and swept the mauritius rally.jpg (10837 bytes)
High voter turnout marked the election
main island’s 60 seats but within months Ramgoolam and Berenger were squabbling and the MMM leader was soon back in his accustomed role as leader of the opposition.
      Indeed the burning political issue and subject of intense scrutiny and debate among pundits since the latest victory and alliance, is whether Jugnauth and Berenger can keep it together. Days after parliament was dissolved on August 10, their two parties signed up for another alliance whereby Jugnauth would become prime minister, the most powerful position in government, for three years. In that time the ceremonial presidency would be changed by constitutional amendments to add certain powers, including the power to dissolve parliament, and extend Uteem’s term by one year. By that time Jugnauth would retire as prime minister, to be elected president by the House of Assembly, and Berenger would at last hold the job he has coveted most in more than 30 years in politics, and become prime minister for the remaining two years of the government’s life.
      But Berenger has split at least three alliances in the past. “If he does it this time, he’s finished even though he’s very popular. The electorate will never trust him again and Jugnauth’s finished too. He’s too old to wait out his five-year term and take up the presidency because with-out Berenger they can’t make the constitutional amendments,” says former Supreme Court justice and legal consult-ant Vinod Boolell.
     
Mauritians really had no other issues to debate except the personalities of the two alliances. Its economy is strong and predicted to reach
eight percent growth in GDP this year, its per capita income is more than US$3,500, inflation and  unemployment are low, around five percent. There is little crime and although petty corruption charges against two cabinet ministers (who immediately resigned) precipitated the snap election call, few people believe corruption in government is serious.
      The country of 1.2 million is a passionate ethnic mix of the descendents of African slaves, Asian indentured labour, a multitude of varying religions and languages (although English is official, Creole is common and widely used by all). It has no army and no armed uniform police, only a small, usually unarmed, Rapid Response Force, a kind of mini-SWAT squad.
      A loyal member of SADC - the current Acting Executive Secretary, Prega Ramsamy, is a Mauritian. The Parliamentary Forum had the singular job of being the first official mission to ever observe a Mauritian election. It was a bit from the sidelines since the electoral laws here have not been amended to allow anyone but electoral officials, police, party agents and, of course, voters to come within 200 m of the voting centres.
      SADC-PF said there were many lessons to be learned. The massive turnout of voters after huge peaceful political rallies was encouraging.
      “The exuberance of the crowds was self-evident. Security (unarmed) was tight but not intimidatory. The political climate was charged but without violence. An air of maturity and tolerance permeated the country,” a press statement said.
      Perhaps the main downside to the election was the lack of participation of women. Only 33 candidates ran from among more than 40 parties and inde-pendents. Only four were elected, all from the winning alliance, a drop of two from the last parliament.
      “In the prevailing situation, the target set by SADC governments in their Gender Declaration to achieve 30 percent women representation in parliament and other decision-making processes by 2005 will prove difficult to achieve,” said the SADC-PF.
By Hugh McCullum

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